Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 4.684221 5.602866 6.625011 7.842448 9.248566 10.817053 12.694334
2025-02-16 3.232353 4.369388 5.767589 7.596312 9.905927 12.705348 16.332050
2025-02-23 2.307528 3.474744 5.040101 7.255722 10.267242 14.168727 19.547031
2025-03-02 1.693670 2.814115 4.438389 6.902219 10.468689 15.354777 22.444385
2025-03-09 1.350587 2.448645 4.152516 6.894904 11.080050 17.084479 26.167370
2025-03-16 1.103610 2.169938 3.931127 6.921243 11.703193 18.845864 30.045760
2025-03-23 0.906608 1.926751 3.714191 6.903522 12.227799 20.475782 33.831450
2025-03-30 0.711349 1.639081 3.366204 6.606514 12.251983 21.316557 36.460938
2025-04-06 0.595466 1.476109 3.206742 6.600071 12.735239 22.893355 40.321699
2025-04-13 0.496551 1.323726 3.038066 6.546193 13.117717 24.319410 44.023762
2025-04-20 0.455046 1.287815 3.090026 6.906702 14.260297 27.085365 50.089510
2025-04-27 0.407235 1.225662 3.076618 7.134370 15.175066 29.519852 55.748083
2025-05-04 0.370488 1.184673 3.106753 7.463010 16.329493 32.490401 62.577203
2025-05-11 0.314432 1.079122 2.976063 7.441781 16.810338 34.301962 67.527442
2025-05-18 0.253838 0.942938 2.748553 7.178999 16.781904 35.177968 70.875424
2025-05-25 0.201391 0.813105 2.509597 6.852415 16.581248 35.705000 73.611452
2025-06-01 0.172422 0.747309 2.419540 6.853260 17.058336 37.543235 78.851331
2025-06-08 0.148901 0.691901 2.346125 6.882249 17.594976 39.528228 84.475306
2025-06-15 0.127350 0.635826 2.259555 6.865567 18.026082 41.328235 89.845107
2025-06-22 0.101350 0.552065 2.074691 6.570289 17.795056 41.770404 92.612473
2025-06-29 0.086940 0.509363 2.004197 6.563984 18.227951 43.599294 98.193152
2025-07-06 0.073646 0.465659 1.920959 6.510397 18.541421 45.194997 103.392468
2025-07-13 0.070038 0.465865 1.982294 6.869222 19.884541 49.060223 113.363598